all this bollox about higher temps and CO2 on the planet in pre history being much higher , well how well did the human race do back then
![Laughing :lol:](./images/smilies/icon_lol.gif)
man made environmental disaster classic
https://youtu.be/CM3ZHMBhP2k
Lone Star wrote: ↑June 12, 2018, 3:20 pmThe Myth that "97% of Scientists Agree"
Heard that before? 555 Over and over from Believers. It is their default position on everything related to warming, cooling, climate change, blah blah blah -- whatever they want to call it next.
They have been caught so many times using fake numbers and fake models and fake narratives that it’s impossible to take them seriously. If they were telling the truth, nothing would have to be made up.
John Cook runs the Believer website SkepticalScience.com. It is a collection of arguments trying to defend PREDICTIONS of catastrophic climate change. It is the same John Cook who started the myth. His full quote is as follows: "Over 97 percent endorsed the view that the Earth is warming up and human emissions of greenhouse gases are the main cause."
This is a fairly clear statement -- 97% endorsed the view that man-made greenhouse gases were the main cause -- main in common usage meaning more than half or even more.
But when you drill down into Cook's paper, you find that this is not the case.
First of all, this 97% comes from the papers that Cook surveyed, NOT 97% of ALL scientists. The evidence contained in Cook's own writing is that only a handful of those he surveyed endorse the view that the Earth is warming up and "human emissions of greenhouse gases are the main cause."
Cook refers to this group as those with "explicit endorsement with quantification" (quantification meaning 50% or more).
However, only a small percentage of the papers fall into this category. When the study was publicly challenged by economist David Friedman, it was calculated that only 1.6% explicitly stated that man-made greenhouse gases caused at least 50% of global warming or more.
So from where does this huge 97% come?
Cook created another category called "explicit endorsement WITHOUT quantification". These were papers in which the author, and it was admitted by Cook, did NOT provide ANY percentage of warming caused by man. Another category labeled by Cook as "implicit endorsement", was for papers that ONLY IMPLIED that there is some man-made global warming -- and the authors do NOT quantify it at all.
In other words, Cook created categories that he labeled as endorsing a view that they most certainly did NOT -- and then lumped them all together to come up with his 97%.
The 97% claim is a deliberate misrepresentation designed to intimidate the public and scientists who disagree with Cook and disagree with the man-made climate-change narrative.
Scientists whose papers were used in Cook's survey have regularly objected to how their papers were mischaracterized. One stated that only 10 of his 122 papers were used by Cook. Half of the 10 papers considered were rated incorrectly. Four of 5 of those papers were rated as endorsing Cook's narrative rather than being neutral. All wrong according to the author.
Think about how many times you hear that 97% or some similar figure thrown around. It’s propagated by people who stand to gain financially from that ideological agenda.
So on the heels of all of these revelations about the 97% Myth, there is a new survey reported in the peer-reviewed Organization Studies. A strong majority (much more than half) of the 1,077 respondents believe that nature is the primary cause of global warming and/or that future global warming will not be a very serious problem.
According to the survey, only 36% of respondents fit the "Comply with Kyoto" model. The scientists in this group "express the strong belief that climate change is happening, that it is not a normal cycle of nature, and humans are the main or central cause."
The survey notes that the overwhelming majority of scientists fall within four other models, each of which is skeptical of alarmist global warming claims.
So the next time you start to hear "97% of scientists ...", you can start laughing out loud before they even complete the sentence. You will be safe in the knowledge that you haven't been indoctrinated and fooled.The survey finds that 24 percent of the scientist respondents fit the “Nature Is Overwhelming” model. “In their diagnostic framing, they believe that changes to the climate are natural, normal cycles of the Earth.” Moreover, “they strongly disagree that climate change poses any significant public risk and see no impact on their personal lives.”
Another group of scientists fit the “Fatalists” model. These scientists, comprising 17 percent of the respondents, “diagnose climate change as both human- and naturally caused. ‘Fatalists’ consider climate change to be a smaller public risk with little impact on their personal life. They are skeptical that the scientific debate is settled regarding the IPCC modeling.” These scientists are likely to ask, “How can anyone take action if research is biased?”
The next largest group of scientists, comprising 10 percent of respondents, fit the “Economic Responsibility” model. These scientists “diagnose climate change as being natural or human caused. More than any other group, they underscore that the ‘real’ cause of climate change is unknown as nature is forever changing and uncontrollable. Similar to the ‘nature is overwhelming’ adherents, they disagree that climate change poses any significant public risk and see no impact on their personal life. They are also less likely to believe that the scientific debate is settled and that the IPCC modeling is accurate. In their prognostic framing, they point to the harm the Kyoto Protocol and all regulation will do to the economy.”
The final group of scientists, comprising 5 percent of the respondents, fit the “Regulation Activists” model. These scientists “diagnose climate change as being both human- and naturally caused, posing a moderate public risk, with only slight impact on their personal life.” Moreover, “They are also skeptical with regard to the scientific debate being settled and are the most indecisive whether IPCC modeling is accurate."
Excellent find.TJ wrote: ↑March 5, 2019, 9:31 amWhile we are discussing the many green frauds:
. . .
What goes on a “renewable” list depends entirely on political influence. Nuclear energy isn’t on the list, even though it emits no carbon dioxide. Hydroelectric isn’t on many “renewable” lists, either.
https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/ ... -fraud.php
4 or 5 years is weather.rick wrote: ↑March 5, 2019, 10:36 amHmm, a 5 year old video to justify that global warming isn't a problem ....... since then, the 4 warmest years on record. It also claims that wind and solar make up just 2% of world energy supply, maybe true over 5 years ago, not today. About 5%, but exact UP TO DATE data not easy to find. Wind and solar are now nearly as important as
. . .
You and the resident Chief Believer will disagree. When I brought up an 11 year tropical storm cycle, he just laughed and laughed. Weather.rick wrote: ↑March 5, 2019, 11:26 amOK, at the end it says climate change is a problem, just not so important as other issues. But it spent the previous 5 minutes suggesting it wasn't an issue, because less people are dying in disasters! And saying that renewables are insignificant - which was borderline 5 years ago, and definitely not today. In the UK, now more important than coal. Same in at least 30 other countries.
One year is weather. When you get 3 or more years with the same changes, statistically unlikely. Time to find out why. Those 4 years are part of a trend which has been happening for at least 30 years. When i was at school, we were told that C02 was about 320 ppm. Now 410 ppm. Now that is significant, and that CO2 levels have never been over 300 ppm for the previous 400,000 years (maybe longer).
Yes, it's myth. The science is not settled.On the other hand, we hear a lot these days about consensus, skepticism, and denial. Warmists often cite the “97-percent consensus” that manmade climate change is true and “settled.” This claim stems from a single study of article abstracts dealing with climate. The study suffers from a number of serious method flaws and has been roundly debunked. A more reasonable conclusion from the study is that 3% of the abstracts support manmade warming, not 97%. In reality the science is not at all settled.
Lippincott also cites quotes from these world bureaucrats that give some insight into their goals.The scientific arm of Agenda 21 is the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), which name telegraphs its staff of bureaucrats. IPCC has published Summaries for Policy Makers (SPM) based on existing refereed science papers. One of IPCC’s noteworthy accomplishments has been to assure that its SPMs are unencumbered by underlying technical detail. Translation: the SPMs say whatever the bureaucrats want them to.
In summary:Mr. Strong believed that pending environmental disaster required a globalist solution. His thinking was bold and not necessarily restricted to scientific inference:
“… in order to save the planet, [a group of world leaders] decides: Isn't the only hope for the planet that the industrialized civilizations collapse? Isn't it our responsibility to bring that about?”
Later on, German economist Ottmar Edenhofer, Co-chair of the IPCC Working Group III Mitigation of Climate Change, opined:
“One has to free oneself from the illusion that international climate policy is environmental policy, … We redistribute de facto the world’s wealth by climate policy.” (Philosophy and position on climate change)
And more recently, Christiana Figueres, a former Executive Secretary of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change and a leader of the 2015 Paris Accords said in an official UN press release:
“This is the first time in the history of mankind that we are setting ourselves the task of intentionally, within a defined period of time, to change the economic development model that has been reigning for at least 150 years, since the Industrial Revolution.”
Redistributing the wealth of the world -- another grand socialist "income inequality" fix. This time among countries.Wait a minute! You mean to tell us we’ve been pouring tens of billions down a climate change rat hole for a couple of decades and what you really want to do is screw up the economy? We’ve been robbed!
Dr. William Lippincott is a retired environment scientist. His inferences are based on extensive literature research on the mechanisms of climate variability, a task open to any student of the scientific method.
https://www.americanthinker.com/article ... th_it.html
The differences are quite glaring. You can draw your own conclusions as to his qualifications and credibility.William Lippincott
William Lippincott is a retired environmental consultant. He taught genetics and crop improvement at the National University of Guatemala before working in the environmental and IT disciplines in private industry.
https://www.claremont.org/crb/contributor-list/2300/
Yeah, that bad, bad Lippincott. He shouldn't be quoting these people.Lippincott also cites quotes from these world bureaucrats that give some insight into their goals.
Mr. Strong believed that pending environmental disaster required a globalist solution. His thinking was bold and not necessarily restricted to scientific inference:
“… in order to save the planet, [a group of world leaders] decides: Isn't the only hope for the planet that the industrialized civilizations collapse? Isn't it our responsibility to bring that about?”
Later on, German economist Ottmar Edenhofer, Co-chair of the IPCC Working Group III Mitigation of Climate Change, opined:
“One has to free oneself from the illusion that international climate policy is environmental policy, … We redistribute de facto the world’s wealth by climate policy.” (Philosophy and position on climate change)
And more recently, Christiana Figueres, a former Executive Secretary of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change and a leader of the 2015 Paris Accords said in an official UN press release:
“This is the first time in the history of mankind that we are setting ourselves the task of intentionally, within a defined period of time, to change the economic development model that has been reigning for at least 150 years, since the Industrial Revolution.”
Hint: If you see a quote box similar to the above, then it's directed toward you.jackspratt wrote:
. . .