Swine flu could spread globally

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Swine flu could spread globally

Post by WBU ALUM » April 26, 2009, 3:45 am

(CNN) -- Cases of swine flu in Mexico and the United States represent "a serious situation" that could become a pandemic, the World Health Organization's director-general said Saturday.

"This is an animal strain of the H1N1 virus and it has pandemic potential because it is infecting people," Dr. Margaret Chan said Saturday speaking to reporters on a teleconference phone call.

However, she said, WHO cannot say whether the disease will cause a pandemic.

WHO convened an emergency committee earlier Saturday to discuss the virus. After the meeting, Paul Garwood, a WHO spokesman, said the agency declined to upgrade its alert level, which stands at 3 and means "no or very limited human-to-human transmission."

U.S. health officials said Friday they were concerned that some cases of the swine flu virus, which has infected eight people in the United States, matched samples of a virus that may have killed at least 68 people in Mexico.
World Health Organization: Swine flu could spread globally

The eight known cases in the US (6 in San Diego, CA and 2 in San Antonio, TX) have recovered fully from the virus.



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Re: Swine flu could spread globally

Post by izzix » April 26, 2009, 5:01 am

Deadly swine flu outbreak 'can't be contained'

Posted 2 hours 28 minutes ago
Updated 1 hour 48 minutes ago

The strain of swine flu is suspected of killing as many as 60 people in Mexico.

The strain of swine flu is suspected of killing as many as 60 people in Mexico. (Reuters: Jorge Dan Lopez)

The US Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) says an unusual new flu virus has spread widely and cannot be contained, as the World Health Organisation urges governments to be on the alert.

"It is clear that this is widespread," the CDC's Dr Anne Schuchat told reporters.

"And that is why we have let you know that we cannot contain the spread of this virus."

The strain of swine flu is suspected of killing as many as 60 people in Mexico and infecting thousands more.

It is a new strain, and therefore poorly understood. The World Health Organisation (WHO) says it does not know the full risk yet.

The organisation has held an emergency meeting to discuss the outbreak.

Its director-general, Margaret Chan, says the deadly new form is serious and does have pandemic potential.

"It has pandemic potential because it is infecting people," WHO Director-General Margaret Chan said in Geneva.

"However, we cannot say on the basis of currently available laboratory, epidemiological and clinical evidence whether or not it will indeed cause a pandemic."

The WHO is advising all countries to be vigilant for seasonally unusual flu or pneumonia like symptoms among their populations, particularly among young, healthy adults who seem to be the most affected in Mexico.

The CDC's acting director, Dr Richard Besser, says it seems humans are transmitting the virus.

"There are things that we see that suggest that containment is not very likely, in that we are seeing cases in Texas and we're seeing cases in San Diego without any connection between them, which makes us think that there's been transmission from person to person," he said.

The Mexican government says there will be a mass vaccination campaign, and in the meantime it has closed all schools and universities.

CDC officials are assisting public health authorities in Mexico to test additional specimens and providing epidemiological support as part of a WHO team.

The centres have also dispatched teams in southern California, where several cases were reported.

Health leaders in the US, Mexico, Canada and at the WHO say they are communicating frequently, and state and local US health authorities are conducting investigations.

There is no vaccine to protect humans from swine flu, only to protect pigs, according to the CDC.

Dr Schuchat says measures are being taken to produce a vaccine against the virus if necessary, but cautions that it usually takes "months" to produce a vaccine.

"We're not going to have large amounts of vaccine tomorrow," she warned.

- ABC/BBC/AFP/Reuters

SOURCE MISSING! Please post the source of news quotes
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Re: Swine flu could spread globally

Post by WBU ALUM » April 26, 2009, 11:31 pm

Numbers in US now increasing. Students in NYC, who just returned from a trip to Mexico, have tested positively for the new flu strain. Still no fatalities in the US, but numbers slowly increasing. I am hopeful that the southern border will be closed.

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Re: Swine flu could spread globally

Post by aznyron » April 27, 2009, 8:08 am

would be a safe move if they did but your chamber of commerce will be screaming
were will they get the 2 dollar hour workers ( for day labor) BTW they are ALL Republicans
it would have to cause major panic in the U.S. before they do some thing like that

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Re: Swine flu could spread globally

Post by izzix » April 28, 2009, 2:36 am

The swine flu crisis lays bare the meat industry's monstrous power

The Mexico swine flu outbreak should alert us to a highly globalised industry with global political clout
Comments (50)

* davis
*
o Mike Davis
o guardian.co.uk, Monday 27 April 2009 14.30 BST
o Article history

The Mexican swine flu, a genetic chimera probably conceived in the faecal mire of an industrial pigsty, suddenly threatens to give the whole world a fever. The initial outbreaks across North America reveal an infection already travelling at higher velocity than did the last official pandemic strain, the 1968 Hong Kong flu.

Stealing the limelight from our officially appointed assassin, H5N1, this porcine virus is a threat of unknown magnitude. It seems less lethal than Sars in 2003, but as an influenza it may be more durable than Sars. Given that domesticated seasonal type-A influenzas kill as many one million people a year, even a modest increment of virulence, especially if combined with high incidence, could produce carnage equivalent to a major war.

Meanwhile, one of its first victims has been the consoling faith, long preached by the World Health Organisation, that pandemics can be contained by the rapid responses of medical bureaucracies, independent of the quality of local public health. Since the initial H5N1 deaths in Hong Kong in 1997, the WHO, with the support of most national health services, has promoted a strategy focused on the identification and isolation of a pandemic strain within its local radius of outbreak, followed by a thorough dousing of the population with antivirals and (if available) vaccine.

An army of sceptics has contested this viral counter-insurgency approach, pointing out that microbes can now fly around the world (quite literally in the case of avian flu) faster than WHO or local officials can react to the original outbreak. They also pointed to the primitive, often non-existent surveillance of the interface between human and animal diseases. But the mythology of bold, preemptive (and cheap) intervention against avian flu has been invaluable to the cause of rich countries, like the US and UK, who prefer to invest in their own biological Maginot lines rather than dramatically increasing aid to epidemic frontlines overseas, as well as to big pharma, which has battled developing-world demands for the generic, public manufacture of critical antivirals like Roche's Tamiflu.

The swine flu may prove that the WHO/Centres for Disease Control version of pandemic preparedness – without massive new investment in surveillance, scientific and regulatory infrastructure, basic public health, and global access to lifeline drugs – belongs to the same class of Ponzified risk management as Madoff securities. It is not so much that the pandemic warning system has failed as it simply doesn't exist, even in North America and the EU.

Perhaps it is not surprising that Mexico lacks both capacity and political will to monitor livestock diseases, but the situation is hardly better north of the border, where surveillance is a failed patchwork of state jurisdictions, and corporate livestock producers treat health regulations with the same contempt with which they deal with workers and animals. Similarly, a decade of urgent warnings by scientists has failed to ensure the transfer of sophisticated viral assay technology to the countries in the direct path of likely pandemics. Mexico has world-famous disease experts, but it had to send swabs to a Winnipeg lab in order to ID the strain's genome. Almost a week was lost as a consequence.

But no one was less alert than the disease controllers in Atlanta. According to the Washington Post, the CDC did not learn about the outbreak until six days after Mexico had begun to impose emergency measures. There should be no excuses. The paradox of this swine flu panic is that, while totally unexpected, it was accurately predicted. Six years ago, Science dedicated a major story to evidence that "after years of stability, the North American swine flu virus has jumped onto an evolutionary fasttrack".

Since its identification during the Great Depression, H1N1 swine flu had only drifted slightly from its original genome. Then in 1998 a highly pathogenic strain began to decimate sows on a farm in North Carolina and new, more virulent versions began to appear almost yearly, including a variant of H1N1 that contained the internal genes of H3N2 (the other type-A flu circulating among humans).

Researchers interviewed by Science worried that one of these hybrids might become a human flu (both the 1957 and 1968 pandemics are believed to have originated from the mixing of bird and human viruses inside pigs), and urged the creation of an official surveillance system for swine flu: an admonition, of course, that went unheeded in a Washington prepared to throw away billions on bioterrorism fantasies.

But what caused this acceleration of swine flu evolution? Virologists have long believed that the intensive agricultural system of southern China is the principal engine of influenza mutation: both seasonal "drift" and episodic genomic "shift". But the corporate industrialisation of livestock production has broken China's natural monopoly on influenza evolution. Animal husbandry in recent decades has been transformed into something that more closely resembles the petrochemical industry than the happy family farm depicted in school readers.

In 1965, for instance, there were 53m US hogs on more than 1m farms; today, 65m hogs are concentrated in 65,000 facilities. This has been a transition from old-fashioned pig pens to vast excremental hells, containing tens of thousands of animals with weakened immune systems suffocating in heat and manure while exchanging pathogens at blinding velocity with their fellow inmates.

Last year a commission convened by the Pew Research Center issued a report on "industrial farm animal production" that underscored the acute danger that "the continual cycling of viruses … in large herds or flocks [will] increase opportunities for the generation of novel virus through mutation or recombinant events that could result in more efficient human to human transmission." The commission also warned that promiscuous antibiotic use in hog factories (cheaper than humane environments) was sponsoring the rise of resistant staph infections, while sewage spills were producing outbreaks of E coli and pfiesteria (the protozoan that has killed 1bn fish in Carolina estuaries and made ill dozens of fishermen).

Any amelioration of this new pathogen ecology would have to confront the monstrous power of livestock conglomerates such as Smithfield Farms (pork and beef) and Tyson (chickens). The commission reported systemic obstruction of their investigation by corporations, including blatant threats to withhold funding from cooperative researchers .

This is a highly globalised industry with global political clout. Just as Bangkok-based chicken giant Charoen Pokphand was able to suppress enquiries into its role in the spread of bird flu in southeast Asia, so it is likely that the forensic epidemiology of the swine flu outbreak will pound its head against the corporate stonewall of the pork industry.

This is not to say that a smoking gun will never be found: there is already gossip in the Mexican press about an influenza epicentre around a huge Smithfield subsidiary in Veracruz state. But what matters more (especially given the continued threat of H5N1) is the larger configuration: the WHO's failed pandemic strategy, the further decline of world public health, the stranglehold of big pharma over lifeline medicines, and the planetary catastrophe of industrialised and ecologically unhinged livestock production.



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Mexico have sacked Sven-Goran Eriksson after just 10 months in charge
2 Apr 2009

Sven-Goran Eriksson has been sacked as manager of Mexico
9 Mar 2009

Mexico and USA: Guns go south, drugs and violence come north

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Re: Swine flu could spread globally

Post by izzix » April 28, 2009, 2:37 am

, Monday, 27 April 2009 20:10 UK

Mexico suspected flu toll soars



WHO spokesman Gregory Hartl: "This is an evolving situation"

As many as 149 people in Mexico are believed to have been killed by swine flu as cases of the virulent disease continue to rise around the world.

The Mexican health minister announced the suspected death toll, saying the victims were aged between 20 and 50.

Cases of swine flu have been confirmed in the US, Canada and Spain. Scotland confirmed two cases on Monday evening.

World Health Organization (WHO) experts are meeting to discuss whether to raise the global pandemic alert level.

If raised from the current level three, it means experts believe the virus is showing a sustained ability to pass from human to human, correspondents say.


SWINE FLU
Swine flu is a respiratory disease thought to spread through coughing and sneezing
Symptoms mimic those of normal flu - but in Mexico more than 100 people have died
Good hygiene like using a tissue and washing hands thoroughly can help reduce transmission

Swine flu cases confirmed in UK
Q&A: What is swine flu?
'I couldn't get out of bed'

UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon warned on Monday that the virus "could cause a new influenza pandemic".

"It could be mild in its effect or potentially be severe," he said.

"We don't know yet which way it will go, but we are concerned that in Mexico most of those who died were young and healthy adults."

The United States and the European Union have urged people to re-think any travel plans to Mexico at the current time.

Mexico quake

Mexico's Health Minister Jose Angel Cordova said on Monday the suspected death toll from swine flu had now risen from just over 100 to 149. Of that number, 20 have been confirmed as swine flu.


The BBC talks to people in Mexico City about the flu outbreak.

In pictures

"We're in the decisive moment of the crisis, the number [of deaths] will continue rising," he told a news conference.

Mr Cordova said nearly 2,000 people had been hospitalised since the first case of swine flu was reported on 13 April, but half had now been allowed home.

Schools nationwide are to remain closed until 6 May as the country attempts to grapple with the outbreak.

As Mr Cordova spoke, Mexico City - where the outbreak is centred - was rocked by a 5.6-magnitude earthquake. It shook tall buildings and led to evacuations, but there have been no reports of damage or injuries.

Travel advisories

The US confirmed a further 20 cases of swine flu in New York - bringing the current number of cases in the country to 40.

Map showing spread of swine flu
Mexico: 26 confirmed cases (Mexico puts suspected deaths at 149)
United States: 40 confirmed cases
Canada: 6 confirmed cases
Spain: 1 confirmed case
UK: Scotland says tests confirm 2 cases
Israel, Brazil, Australia and New Zealand: Suspected cases being tested

The rise was entirely due to further testing of pupils at a school in Queens, Dr Richard Besser, acting director of the US Centers of Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), said.

Of the other cases reported - in Ohio, Kansas, Texas and California - only one person had been hospitalised and all had recovered, he added.

However, he warned that a new US travel advisory was being prepared suggesting "non-essential travel to Mexico be avoided".

Earlier, US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton urged "caution" for US nationals planning to visit Mexico, saying officials were taking the issue "very seriously".

EU Health Commissioner Androulla Vassiliou said that in her personal opinion people should "try to avoid non-essential travel" to areas where people are known to have been infected.

US President Barack Obama, in a speech to US scientists, said the cases were a cause for concern but not alarm.

He said the declaration of a public health emergency was a "precautionary tool" to ensure that all the necessary resources were available "to respond quickly and effectively".

Vigilance

Swine flu officially arrived in Europe on Monday, when tests confirmed that a young man in Spain and two people in Scotland - all of whom had recently returned from Mexico - had the virus. They were said to be recovering well.


WHO PANDEMIC ALERT PHASES
Phase 1: No viruses circulating among animals causing infections in humans
Phase 2: Animal influenza virus causes infection in humans, and is considered potential pandemic threat
Phase 3: Influenza causes sporadic cases in people, but no significant human-to-human transmission
Phase 4: Verified human-to-human transmission able to cause community-level outbreaks. Significant increase in risk of a pandemic
Phase 5: Human-to-human transmission in at least two countries. Strong signal pandemic imminent
Phase 6: Virus spreads to another country in a different region. Global pandemic under way

Life at centre of the outbreak
Swine flu: Your experiences
In pictures: Swine flu

In Canada, six cases have been recorded at opposite ends of the country, in British Columbia and in Nova Scotia.

Tests are also being carried out on individuals or groups in New Zealand, Australia, Brazil and Israel who fell ill following travel to Mexico.

In almost all cases outside Mexico, people have been only mildly ill and have made a full recovery.

Health experts say the virus comes from the same strain that causes seasonal outbreaks in humans. But they say this newly-detected version contains genetic material from versions of flu which usually affect pigs and birds.

There is currently no vaccine for this new strain, but severe cases can be treated with antiviral medication.

The WHO is advising all countries to be vigilant for seasonally unusual flu or pneumonia-like symptoms among their populations - particularly among young healthy adults, a characteristic of past pandemics.

A number of countries in Asia, Latin America and Europe have begun screening airport passengers for symptoms, while Germany's biggest tour operator has suspended trips to Mexico.

Several countries have banned imports of raw pork and pork products from Mexico and parts of the US, although experts say there is no evidence to link exposure to pork with infection.

Shares in airlines have fallen sharply on fears about the economic impact of the outbreak.

Are you in a country which has confirmed the virus? Do you know someone who has been affected by the outbreak? Are you a health worker in one of the affected countries? Tell us your experiences by filling in the form below.

A selection of your comments may be published, displaying your name and location unless you state otherwise in the box below.


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Re: Swine flu could spread globally

Post by izzix » April 28, 2009, 2:41 am

News
Avoid US and Mexico, Britons told

27.04.09




Britons were urged to postpone non-essential travel to the United States or Mexico as senior officials held emergency talks over the deadly outbreak of swine flu.

The European Union's health commissioner Andorra Vassiliou met EU foreign ministers on the subject and advised people to reassess their travel plans.

"They should avoid travelling to Mexico or the United States of America unless it is very urgent for them," she said.

Public health experts from all EU countries were also summoned to Brussels for urgent talks on the swine flu outbreak after more than 100 people were killed by the virus in Mexico.

The meeting is the first in a series being convened by the current Czech EU presidency in the run-up to an emergency meeting of EU health ministers, probably on Thursday.

At Gatwick airport in west Sussex, Britons arriving back from Mexico were questioned by a doctor on board about possible flu symptoms before leaving the aircraft.

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Re: Swine flu could spread globally

Post by izzix » April 28, 2009, 2:43 am


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Re: Swine flu could spread globally

Post by izzix » April 28, 2009, 2:59 am

UK swine flu cases confirmed

26 mins ago
ITN

* Print Story

Scottish Health Secretary Nicola Sturgeon has confirmed the first British cases of deadly swine flu.
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Two people have tested positive for the virus and are being treated in isolation in hospital in Airdrie, near Glasgow, while seven more people among 22 who have been in contact with them have developed "mild symptoms" not confirmed as swine flu.

The pair developed symptoms after returning from a trip to Mexico, where more than 100 people have died following an outbreak of the H1N1 virus.

Ms Sturgeon added: "I would reiterate that the threat to the public remains low and that the precautionary actions we have taken over the last two days have been important in allowing us to respond appropriately and give us the best prospect of disrupting the spread of the virus."

Health Secretary Alan Johnson earlier said ministers have put in place "enhanced" port health checks on passengers arriving in the UK and will use its stockpile of anti-viral drugs if the virus begins to spread widely.

Spain earlier confirmed Europe's first case of swine flu. The man, who had recently been in Mexico, is said to be responding well to treatment and was not in a serious condition.

The European Union's health chief has warned non-essential travel to swine flu-hit parts of Mexico and the US be postponed.

The disease has claimed 103 lives in Mexico with as many as 1,600 carrying the virus. As well as cases in Mexico, the United States, Canada and Spain, there are also suspected cases in New Zealand, France, Israel, Australia and the Republic of Ireland.

The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said there are up to 45 cases of swine flu in five states, including 20 more cases at a New York school, while people who have had contact with confirmed cases are also developing flu-like symptoms.

Passengers returning to Heathrow from Mexico City are being kept aboard their planes while health officials ask them if they feel unwell. But other travellers at Gatwick airport said they had not been stopped as they returned to Britain.

The Government said it has enough medicine to treat half the population.

The NHS has a stockpile of more than £500 million worth of the Tamiflu anti-viral drug, which has proved effective on patients in Mexico, and scientists are working on developing a vaccine against the new strain.

World Health Organisation Director-General Margaret Chan said the outbreak, caused when the H1N1 strain associated with pigs crossed over to the human population, constituted a "public health emergency of international concern".




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Re: Swine flu could spread globally

Post by Kevro » April 28, 2009, 6:43 pm

Hi, don't laugh

I reckon its already here on your doorstep unless there is a good clone of it circulating. Myself and the 4 other family members have been struck down by the worst flu I have encounted for many a year. Maybe I am a hypochondriac but all the symptons match and we have been down and out for 5 days before surfacing at 60% health.

Coincidentally we were watching a Mexican / Thai muay thai fight recently. Can you get it off TV???

Anyone else out in the sticks had any bad flu's circulating through there villages.

Kevro

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Re: Swine flu could spread globally

Post by cali4995 » April 29, 2009, 6:06 am

Watching some footage on the news about Suvarnabhumi, they're really going proactive?
Thermal scanners and a battalion of nurses intercept incoming passengers? Another black
eye for tourism though. Can only discourage folks from getting out and about.Changing world eh?

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Re: Swine flu could spread globally

Post by bumper » April 29, 2009, 6:29 am

YA they spoke of that on the news last night yuo would think it was the most important thing in Thailand. But, no problem uping bank fees seven fold. They talk the talk but they don't walk the walk. Tourism wise they do it to themselves.

This virus has already spread around the world, it is amazing how fast thing move in the world we live in today. It seems like it was in New Zealand about the same time they announced it. They still have to locate everyone that was on that plane. Not to mention any stop overs they may have had at Airport Terminals othe then Mexico.

It does seem there are drugs available for this now. But, that doen;t mean they are available in third world contries.

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Re: Swine flu could spread globally

Post by bumper » April 29, 2009, 6:48 am

The reality of the world we live in today:
Swine flu containment 'unfeasible'
By: AFP
Published: 28/04/2009 at 11:10 PM
World health officials admitted they were powerless to halt the spread of swine flu and ratcheted up their pandemic alert level as the number of affected countries rose sharply on Tuesday.

World health officials have admitted they are powerless to halt the spread of swine flu and have ratcheted up their pandemic alert level as the number of affected countries rises sharply.

As Mexico, epicentre of the outbreak, said 152 people were now believed to have died from the virus, the number of known cases in the US more than doubled while six other countries said they had confirmed their first casualties.

In Asia, where memories of the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) outbreak in 2003 remain fresh, governments tried to contain the spread of the virus, screening travellers from affected areas and advising against non-essential travel to Mexico.

Their counterparts in the United Arab Emirates, one of the world's premier flight hubs, also placed their airports under strict surveillance to spot anyone arriving who might have swine flu.

But the World Health Organization (WHO) said border screenings "don't work," while the EU's health commissioner said there was no need for travel restrictions.

"Border controls do not work. Screening doesn't work," WHO spokesman Gregory Hartl said in Geneva.

"If a person has been exposed or infected... the person might not be symptomatic at the airport," he said. "We learn as we go on. SARS was a huge learning experience for all of us."

The WHO raised its flu pandemic alert level from three to four on Monday night -- signalling a "significant increase in the risk of a pandemic."

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Re: Swine flu could spread globally

Post by arjay » April 29, 2009, 2:49 pm

This is from today's Bangkok Post, and focuses on Asia as a whole:-
http://www.bangkokpost.com/news/asia/14 ... flu-threat
Asia tightens grip against flu threat
By: AFP Published: 29/04/2009 at 02:06 AM

Hong Kong - Asia tightened its already strict measures to keep swine flu from spreading across the region Tuesday, after the World Health Organisation warned of a significant increase in the risk of a pandemic.

New Zealand confirmed three cases among 11 who are assumed to have caught the virus as the number of suspected infections across the region jumped.

Australia said it was probing 70 possible infections among those who had recently returned from Mexico or the United States. South Korea reported a single case and Thai medical authorities placed a woman in quarantine in hospital for tests.

Korean scientist tests recently imported pork from Mexico.

Hong Kong said it was testing four people as queues formed outside pharmacies with residents, spurred by memories of the deadly SARS virus, stocking up on medical supplies to counter any potential swine flu outbreak.

New Zealand confirmed three cases after samples from nine students and a teacher from Auckland high school Rangitoto College, who had earlier tested positive for influenza A, were tested for swine flu at a Melbourne laboratory.

An 11th person from the school was also reported by Auckland health authorities to have tested positive for influenza A on Tuesday evening.

They were among a group of 25 people from the school who returned from Mexico on Saturday.

"Unfortunately tonight we can confirm New Zealanders have tested positive to swine flu," Health Minister Tony Ryall told a press conference. "It's a time for caution and concern, but not alarm."

Officials said they were investigating a total of 43 possible cases and were still trying to trace 18 people who arrived on the same flight from Los Angeles as the main group of school children.

In neighbouring Australia, health authorities said they were investigating 70 possible cases and health officials were put on high alert.

Health Minister Nicola Roxon said clinical staff had been stationed at all international airports, while airlines operating from the Americas were required to report the health status of passengers before landing.

Most countries in the region have already increased airport checks to screen passengers arriving from affected areas and advised against non-essential travel to Mexico, where the virus has killed a suspected 152 people.

Thermal scanners have been a common feature in many Asian airports since the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) epidemic of 2003.

Japan went one step further, saying it would temporarily tighten visa restrictions for Mexican nationals as part of efforts to stop the virus entering the country and urged Japanese citizens in Mexico to return home.

It also booked 500 hotel rooms near Tokyo's Narita International Airport in case it needs them to quarantine infected travellers, Jiji Press reported.

The news agency also reported that quarantine officials had started onboard checks of passengers on planes arriving from Mexico, the United States and Canada

The World Health Organisation's Keiji Fukuda said a pandemic was not inevitable and that while the hike in its alert level was a "significant step towards pandemic influenza, it's also a phase which says we are not there yet".

If the world health body further increased its alert level, Japan would quarantine arrivals suspected of having the virus, as well as those who accompany them and flight attendants, for 10 days of tests, Jiji said.

Hong Kong, which was at the forefront of the SARS epidemic in 2003 and has since been on alert for bird flu, has already issued similar guidelines allowing for arrivals to be detained, as has Australia.

The first suspected case of the virus in East Asia was reported in a woman in South Korea just back from a trip to Mexico, health officials said.

Officials in Seoul said they would double stocks of Tamiflu and other anti-influenza drugs -- enough to treat five million people.

Countries including New Zealand have said contingency plans drawn up during the bird flu epidemic that reappeared in 2003 meant health authorities had plentiful stocks of anti-flu medication.

Health officials in the India resort state of Goa on Tuesday said they were trying to track down 500 British holidaymakers who arrived in the Indian resort state after the outbreak of swine flu.

State epidemiologist Rajendra Tamba said they were planning to take throat swab samples of the tourists as a precautionary measure to prevent infection after a number of confirmed cases in Western countries.

Health experts have expressed fears that the relatively low death rate and mild symptoms seen in some cases of the current strain could allow the virus to spread faster.

However Yuen Kwok-yung, head of microbiology at the University of Hong Kong, said it was too early to establish the extent of the threat.

"It is very likely we are at the beginning of a pandemic. We are near there," said Yuen, who is heading the University of Hong Kong team looking into the virus.
It would be interesting and re-assuring to know what steps the Thai authorities have taken in case the outbreak reaches Thailand, apart from scanners at teh airport. Do they have adequate supplies of the right drugs etc?

Also, does anyone know what, of any steps or preventative measure that we can take as individuals if the outbreak should reach these shores?

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Re: Swine flu could spread globally

Post by beer monkey » April 29, 2009, 3:40 pm

The NHS in uk are buying 32 million masks...'pig flu out of control' the dailys are writing.

Khun Paul You Getting This...?

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Swine Flu..Thailand Section.

Post by beer monkey » April 29, 2009, 3:53 pm

Mod Note - Topics merged for simplicity and to avoid duplication.

Sales have dropped...

Swine flu threatens Thailand’s billion baht pork industry 29 Apr 2009
It may have started in Mexico with the first reported cases of swine flu but now it has become a major world issue. Thailand felt the effects of the first bird flu breakout in 2004, history is now repeating itself as swine flu has taken on international proportions.


Less than two days after the swine flu breakout in Mexico received worldwide attention, Thailand’s 70 billion baht pork industry was preparing for the worst. Both Betagro and CPF, major pig farm operators, imposed additional protection measures to prevent the possible spread of the swine flu virus. But in the local markets, the reported outbreak of swine flu, first in Mexico and then worldwide, became the latest blow to the pork trade with vendors struggling hard to cope with the fast-dwindling demand, while consumers switched to chicken as their first protein choice, sparking an increase in poultry prices.

Lower number of piglets
Despite the Mexican flu outbreak, Yangyong Phuangrach, director-general of the Internal Trade Department reported that the price of pork had increased continuously as a lower number of piglets were being bred and because of the higher feed meal costs. Nonetheless, he said, the domestic pork price should not be expected to drop dramatically because of the swine flu outbreak as 100% of Thailand’s pigs are fed in the country. Although the pork price was high at present, it is expected to drop due to a greater supply of pigs after the dry season.

Saha Farm chairman Panya Chotitawan said demand for chicken would increase slightly as consumers shun pork, "Chicken prices should rise slightly because of the brief impact from the fear of swine flu, however, prices should settle down once the panic was over,” he said.

Adirek Sripratak, president and CEO of Charoen Pokphand Foods, said any windfall for the chicken industry from the Mexican flu would be limited. "There are many choices of protein sources. Chicken is one of consumers' choices. Exports of the company are expected to grow steadily as usual," he said.

Impact on pork demand
Siripol Yodmuangcharoen, permanent secretary of the Commerce Ministry, said that despite the impact from swine flu on demand for pork, chicken and seafood exports should have a good year. Food exports have dropped by 5.1% to $2.72 billion so far this year due to the global economic downturn. However, the ministry expects full-year growth of 8.3% to $14.58 billion.

“The high standard of Thai foods should encourage their growth this year," he said.
From Pig Progress.net.....your one stop pig shop and info centre on all things pig.

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beer monkey
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Re: Swine flu could spread globally

Post by beer monkey » April 29, 2009, 3:59 pm

Thought i was doing the right thing, ....ohh well.

bumper
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Re: Swine flu could spread globally

Post by bumper » April 29, 2009, 6:32 pm

The more you isolate yourself the less the chance of coming in contact with a carrier. Washing your hand throughly many times per day. Most think it's because you are around someoen sneezing or coughing which is partly true but infections are more likely to be transmitted wiping your eyes, mouth. That is the reason for constantly washing your hands.

So the mask with the hand washing is about as much as yuo can do. kind of hard not to get exposed if it hits in large numbers. I to am curious about the meds avialable, thus far those who have gotten the proper medication have been miserable as can be but, recovered.

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Irish Alan
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Re: Swine flu could spread globally

Post by Irish Alan » April 29, 2009, 6:40 pm

Swine flu virus kills child in US

A 23-month-old child in Texas is the first person known to have died of swine flu outside Mexico, where it may have killed as many as 159 people.

Officials in Washington gave no other details of the patient - one of 64 cases of infection with the virus.

Germany has detected its first three cases of the H1N1 virus and the UK has now confirmed five cases.

The UN's World Health Organisation has called a meeting of scientific experts to discuss the nature of the outbreak.

CONFIRMED & SUSPECTED CASES
# Mexico: 159 suspected deaths - seven confirmed cases
# US: one death, at least 63 confirmed cases
# Canada: 13 confirmed cases
# UK: 5 confirmed cases
# Germany, New Zealand: 3 confirmed cases each
# Spain, Israel: 2 confirmed cases each
# Countries with suspected cases: Brazil, Guatemala, Peru, Australia, and South Korea, and seven EU states

Earlier, it confirmed that the flu was being transmitted between humans and called on countries to check their contingency plans for a possible pandemic.

But the WHO also urged caution, saying measures like travel bans were unlikely to prove effective.

The death in Texas was confirmed by Dr Richard Besser, acting director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Germany's Robert Koch Institute, responsible for disease control and prevention, said a 22-year-old woman was in hospital in Hamburg and that a 37-year-old woman and a man in his late thirties were in separate hospitals in Bavaria.

All three recently returned from Mexico, officials said.

In the UK, Prime Minister Gordon Prime announced three new cases, on top of two previously reported in Scotland: a girl of 12 in the south-west English town of Torbay, and a case each in London and Birmingham.

He told parliament all three were receiving antiviral drugs and were responding well to treatment.

"All of them have travelled recently from Mexico," he added. "All of them have mild symptoms."

Confusion

In Mexico, there is some confusion over exactly how many people died from H1N1, the BBC's Stephen Gibbs reports.

From Matthew Price in Oaxaca, Mexico

The first fatal case of the virus is believed to have been contracted here in Oaxaca. It is a tourist centre and the obvious concern is that when the visitors leave, they may take the virus with them.

At the local cemetery, a group of gravediggers pointed me towards a freshly dug plot. The flowers on top had wilted under the sun but still had some colour. Here was the grave of the first confirmed victim of the virus, Adela Gutierrez, 39.

One of the gravediggers, Sergio Castro Lopez, told me people here are worried. They are waiting for the authorities to tell them what they should do. I tried at the local hospital to get more information but the ministry of health has ordered its staff across the country to remain silent.

This is largely because the government is now subjecting the samples it has from deceased patients to a more laborious verification process.

Meanwhile, the search for the source of the outbreak continues, with the focus on the vicinity of a pig farm in the eastern part of the country.

The Mexican government is urging against jumping to conclusions and is suggesting the possibility remains that the virus originated outside the country, our correspondent adds.

The capital, Mexico City, has banned restaurants and cafes from serving all food except takeaways to try to prevent the spread of the virus.

Schools across the country have closed, public gatherings are restricted and archaeological sites have been placed off-limits.

SYMPTOMS - WHAT TO DO
# Swine flu symptoms are similar to those produced by ordinary seasonal flu - fever, cough, sore throat, body aches, chills and fatigue
# If you have flu symptoms and recently visited affected areas of Mexico, you should seek medical advice
# If you suspect you are infected, you should stay at home and take advice by telephone initially, in order to minimise the risk of infection

Mexico City's chamber of trade estimated restrictions in the city were costing businesses there at least 777 million pesos ($57m or £39m) a day.

People have been cancelling beautician appointments, wary of close physical contact, Reuters news agency reports.

"The customers are scared stupid - they don't want to go out," said hairdresser Esther Gonzalez.

Spain is one of the countries outside the Americas most vulnerable to the virus because of the sheer volume of its air passenger traffic with Mexico.

It has two confirmed cases of swine flu and a further 32 people are undergoing tests.

The government says the situation is "under control", that no lives are at risk and that there is no evidence of human-to-human transmission within Spain.

Instead, it says all those under observation fell ill after visiting Mexico.



All incoming passengers from that country and the US are being asked to fill in forms with medical information and contact details and airlines have been ordered to carry surgical masks.

With more than 30,000 passengers a month travelling from Mexico to Madrid, swine flu is a logistical challenge, the BBC's Steve Kingstone reports from the Spanish capital.

The authorities are preparing for the long haul, our correspondent says.

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Story from BBC NEWS:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/pr/fr/-/2/hi/a ... 024611.stm

Published: 2009/04/29 11:34:47 GMT

© BBC MMIX

laphanphon

Re: Swine flu could spread globally

Post by laphanphon » April 29, 2009, 6:56 pm

BTW they are ALL Republicans
all the pigs are republican or all republicans are pigs...................prejudice, so sad.

ok, non one liner, on topic..................i'm thinking..............good thing not many mexicans come to vacation in thailand. don't think thailand imports much if any pigs, as stated, already overpriced, as is all the meats presently, tho beef seems more stable then the rest of things............just another reason for some more inflation.

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