Current death rate on a rolling 7 day gives about 253,818 dead by November 6th and 328,818 by January 20th
Infections at about 9,176,152 and 14,126,152 on the same dates
Current death rate on a rolling 7 day gives about 253,818 dead by November 6th and 328,818 by January 20th
https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/c ... rc=nl_mostAn autumn surge in covid-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus, would not be an October surprise: It has been hypothesized since early in the pandemic because of the patterns of other respiratory viruses.
“My feeling is that there is a wave coming, and it’s not so much whether it’s coming but how big is it going to be,” said Eili Klein, an epidemiologist at Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine ...
A model produced by the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation and published Friday forecasts a “most likely” daily death toll of 1,907 on Election Day, roughly double the current toll. Under the IHME forecast, the numbers would continue to rise until early December, peaking at more than 2,800 deaths daily.
By year’s end, 410,000 people in the United States will have died under the model’s most-likely scenario. That’s more than double current fatalities. The model also produced best-case and worst-case scenarios — ranging from 288,000 to 620,000 deaths by Jan. 1 — depending on the degree to which people wear masks, adhere to social distancing and take other precautions.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/09/12/opin ... e=HomepageWhat would America be like today if President Trump had acted decisively in January to tackle the coronavirus, as soon as he was briefed on the danger?
One opportunity for decisive action came Jan. 28, when his national security adviser, Robert C. O’Brien, told Trump that the coronavirus “will be the biggest national security threat you face in your presidency.” ...
Linsey Marr, an expert on disease transmission at Virginia Tech, isn’t sure that we could have achieved South Korean or (somewhat higher) Japanese levels of mortality, because both of those countries have more of a tradition of mask-wearing. But she does believe that we could have perhaps achieved German levels (meaning an 80 percent reduction in deaths).
On this subject every country (with a population of over a million) outranks the USA the only contenders for bottom place are Brazil & India and they have a long way to go to get the bottom.papafarang wrote: ↑September 26, 2020, 4:49 pmThose ' **** hole African countries ' with poor democracy ,high unemployment ,crap health care ,poverty and crime are laughing now. South Sudan probably outranks the USA
India I can understand , with such a huge population and some extreme poverty it was always going to be rough on them . if they lock down they starve. The affluent west has no excuse ,no one will go hungrysometimewoodworker wrote: ↑September 27, 2020, 12:11 amOn this subject every country (with a population of over a million) outranks the USA the only contenders for bottom place are Brazil & India and they have a long way to go to get the bottom.papafarang wrote: ↑September 26, 2020, 4:49 pmThose ' **** hole African countries ' with poor democracy ,high unemployment ,crap health care ,poverty and crime are laughing now. South Sudan probably outranks the USA
Someone who doesn’t like the situation today