US Presidential election odds

[Doodoo]

Another rumor Tam?

[tamada]

Another rumor Tam?

Another what now?

[Declan MacPherson]

Not even millions of dollars can dig Kamala out of this hole.

People forget about her failed presidential bid in 2020 when she dropped out before voting ever began in the primary. She finished like 4th or 5th in polling in her own state. Democrats rejected her in a big way. If she's the nominee, the party will do all they can to prop her up; but voters know her for what she is.

[jackspratt]

Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform that allows users to place bets on world events. Users buy and sell shares using cryptocurrency to bet on the likelihood of future events taking place.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polymarket

So it's not even a voting poller - as bad as they are. More akin to an astrologer.

[Declan MacPherson]

Last I checked, election odds are about betting, not polls.

[Whistler]

Last I checked, election odds are about betting, not polls.

Polymarket is a betting service, what nonsense are you talking about Mr D.

[Declan MacPherson]

Another one who doesn't make the connection between "odds" and betting.

[jackspratt]

Where does it mention "odds" in your graphic?

It does mention "Forecast", which is very different to odds.

[Declan MacPherson]

Another one who doesn't make the connection between "odds" and betting.

For those failing to make the connection, I'd like to draw your attention to this portion of the graphic with the word "FAVORED."

Favored.png (93.5 KiB) Viewed 1706 times

Some had the researching skills to find that Polymarket is a betting service. I'm shocked that the ones who research everything here on UM didn't bother to check that out. Hat tip to Whistler, who did his duty.

[mak]

Michelle.

[jackspratt]

Reading comprehension is a vanishing skill.

It sure is.

Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform that allows users to place bets on world events. Users buy and sell shares using cryptocurrency to bet on the likelihood of future events taking place.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polymarket

So it's not even a voting poller - as bad as they are. More akin to an astrologer.

(My added emphasis).

[jackspratt]

Michelle.

Let's hope not, and that's nothing against Michelle Obama.

Celebrity and/or political dynasty is rarely a good idea in politics - except for the media, that is.

[Potamoi]

Since most MSM will not cover him:



and then there is Megan et al comments:

[Drunk Monkey]

https://youtu.be/ZsScXI57yRI

[anefarious1]

On Truth Social, Trump just posted the following:

It’s a new day and Joe Biden doesn’t remember quitting the race yesterday! He is demanding his campaign schedule and arranging talks with Presidents Xi of China, and Putin of Russia, concerning the possible start of World War 3. Biden is “sharp, decisive, energetic, angry, and ready to go!”

As usual, everything is false and in poor taste. This is an unhinged person who is unfit for office. And he's too old but also he never grew up. SAD!

[pipoz4444]

Just one Election Poll Prediction. I am sure there are others

Equally I am sure some will take offense at it and be outraged or have 1000 reasons why it is incorrect.

What I am sure about is come the first Tuesday in November 2024 the day of the Melbourne Cup, people around the world will be celebrating their win and some will be drowning their sorrows.

I find it a bit ironical that in one Country/Nation you have Donkey(s) competing for the biggest prize of the Nation and in the other Country/Nation you have Thoroughbreds competing for the biggest prize of that other Nation, on the same day. "Poles apart"

pipoz4444

[Declan MacPherson]

Kamala is catching up on the betting circuit.

[Drunk Monkey]

Taking DT out the equation for the moment ... the Democrat Party surely isnt being Democratic is it.

Biden was fairly and correctly voted in as the candidate for the election but it seems all forms of democracy went out the window when the puppet masters Pelosi , Obama n Clinton forced Joe to quit and without another vote being cast install Harris as his replacement .. its obvious the polls were tanking Biden but Kamala Harris hasnt ever really polled well throughout her career more so surely there should have been another vote by the whole party membership to decide who is to face off with DT come November... Dr Jill has gone awfully quiet ????

Can anyone disagree that there has been a huge cover up re Bidens health by the staff around him and certain sections of the media ..the recent debate epic failure the catalyst for the party powers to act ... followed by his terrible Oval office explanation... so should Biden be allowed to serve out the remaining 6 months of his term if he is so impaired and getting worse .. he has the codes after all , unless there in Hillarys knicker drawer that is.

Throw in a very dodgy looking assassination attempt this circus just gets more entertaining by the week and it is a very sad fact in ARGUABLY the greatest nation on the planet (behind GB) this is the best choice on offer.

Great viewing especially during the football close season... come next month (AUGUST 10TH FOR ALL YOUR DIARIES) Scunthorpe Utd will take PRESIDENT over everything...see what i did there Tam ???

Seems politics the world over is in a real mess ..Usa , UK , France and Auss etc etc oh and add Thailand to that me thinks... The middle East , China , Russia and N Korea must be watching with glee as its all going tits up in the real world.

DM

[pipoz4444]

The 2024 Election Poll prediction seems pretty detailed and it always seems to come down to the results in 3 to 4 States.
Arizona.
Wisconsin.
Michigan.
Pennsylvania.

Maybe five if you count Georgia.

Still there is 3 months to go, so anything can happen

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MWn3IIppKkU

pipoz4444

[Doodoo]

Barack Obama endorses Kamala Harris for US president | BBC News

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iyjAsYUuuxg